According to the long-range forecast from eltiempo.es, Christmas and New Year’s Eve 2025 will be marked by temperatures lower than the seasonal average across much of Spain, together with drier conditions and the possibility of snowfall in several regions. In contrast, the Canary Islands can expect relatively stable and typical weather for this time of year.
The platform emphasises that “normal” refers to the climatic average of the past 30 years — not to the public’s recent perception of warmer winters — and that the atmosphere may still introduce variations as the dates approach
General trends heading into Christmas
Although the astronomical winter begins this Sunday accompanied by rain, cold air and snowfall, the outlook points to a December dominated by below-average rainfall in the west of the country and a more pronounced cold spell as the New Year approaches. Meteorologists warn that temperatures may fall more sharply in the final days of 2025, ushering in a more typical winter atmosphere.
During Christmas week, temperatures across the peninsula are expected to be slightly colder than normal, with relatively uniform values and no major extremes. Nights and early mornings will feel particularly wintry, even if daytime temperatures remain moderate.
Rainfall outlook: a dry Christmas for much of western Spain
eltiempo.es anticipates a shortage of rain across western regions, meaning a drier-than-usual Christmas for:
- Galicia
- Extremadura
- Western Castile and León
- Western Andalusia
A slight deficit is also likely in central Spain, while rainfall figures should remain close to normal along the eastern peninsula and the Mediterranean coastline.
Canary Islands: stable and typical for the season
Unlike the mainland, the Canary Islands are not expected to experience any major anomalies during the Christmas period. Conditions should remain steady, with no significant deviations from what is usually expected in late December.
A sharper cold spell forecast for the start of 2026
The most notable change is expected to arrive at the end of the year. Forecast maps suggest a clear and widespread drop in temperatures as 2026 begins. Much of the peninsula may face conditions that are:
- significantly colder than normal,
- accompanied by more frequent frosts, especially inland and at higher elevations.
This means that January is likely to start in a distinctly wintery fashion, even more so than the final week of December. As for rainfall, the pattern remains largely unchanged: the west and south-west are expected to stay drier than average, while the east and Mediterranean regions will remain within normal limits.
